BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Davenport Assumption
Class: 4A Class Rank: 16 Conference: (5-4) Overall: (5-5) Overall Strength = 64.80
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 08/28/2009 Away W * 76.74 38 15 4A 28 ( 4- 6) Burlington 11.60 11.40
2 09/03/2009 Home L * 51.16 14 20 4A 24 ( 5- 5) Pleasant Valley -13.98 7.98
3 09/11/2009 Away W * 76.06 31 0 4A 35 ( 2- 7) Muscatine 10.92 20.08
4 09/18/2009 Home W * 68.54 35 21 4A 22 ( 5- 5) Davenport Central 3.40 10.60
5 09/25/2009 Home L * 77.71 21 28 4A 4 (11- 1) Clinton 12.57 -19.57
6 10/01/2009 Away W * 68.26 54 12 4A 46 ( 0- 9) Davenport North 3.12 * 38.88
7 10/08/2009 Home L * 46.85 13 27 4A 17 ( 5- 5) Eldridge North Scott -18.29 4.29
8 10/16/2009 Home W * 64.39 28 0 4A 41 ( 2- 7) Davenport West -0.75 28.75
9 10/23/2009 Away L * 65.95 19 25 4A 13 ( 8- 2) Bettendorf 0.81 -6.81
10 10/28/2009 Away L 55.76 3 23 4A 7 ( 8- 3) Cedar Falls -9.39 -10.61
Averages 65.14 25.6 17.1
Best game: 77.71 = 7 point loss to Clinton
Worst game: 46.85 = 14 point loss to Eldridge North Scott
Team stdev: 10.81